Indicative valuation for owner-led companies in DACH

Know the value before the first negotiation.

You get an indicative range for the equity value. It rests on the listed-company multiple, a derived DACH discount and three quality levers. Only then do you sit down with a buyer, a bank or the board.

The succession wave

Three figures, one finding, from the latest DACH studies on company succession.

Who sits here next?

The value range

Five seats at the table. One shared starting point.

Buyer
Bank
Adviser
Advisory board
Owner
lowerhigher
0.0xto0.0x
Indicative range (EV/EBITDA)
Owner

Starts high, from a life's work and what it is worth.

Anchor: expectation
Buyer

Starts from risk, and looks for an entry that will hold.

Anchor: risk
Bank

Takes a conservative view, from collateral and cash flow.

Anchor: collateral
Advisory board

Weighs ambition against what the market will bear.

Anchor: strategy
Adviser

Derives the range from the listed-company multiple and the DACH discount.

Anchor: evidence
How the range is built:

How the range is built

Sector anchor. DACH discount. Your quality factors.

  1. 01

    Sector anchor from listed companies

    Damodaran's European sector multiples: the public listed-company benchmark the band starts from.

  2. 02

    Empirically derived DACH discount

    A sector-specific factor, derived from the data, that brings listed-company levels down to a privately held firm.

  3. 03

    Your quality factors

    EBITDA trend, owner dependence, recurring revenue. Three levers that move where you sit inside the band.

Three levers move your position in the band

Rising earnings lift the value. Falling earnings lower it.

declininggrowing

High owner dependence lowers the value. Low dependence lifts it.

lowhigh

Recurring revenue steadies the value, and lifts it.

noneall

Indicative range for your company

4.8xto5.4x

A first range you can stand behind, before the conversation starts.

A few inputs give you a range you can trace. The reasoning stays in view. You sit with the result in your own time.

Mittelstandswert

Mittelstandswert is an indicative valuation tool for DACH SME owners.

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